The gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Bahrain is set at 3.7% in 2014, a slightly below that of 2013 3.9%, yet high by most of Western standards, according to experts.
“Despite possible geo-political challenges, oil production will stabilize, and the service sector will lead the steady growth,” the experts told the audience at an event held at the Capital Club.
However, the experts added, the outlook for oil-rich GCC and wider MENA is positive despite tensions in other parts of the region. Key priorities include the reform of the government role as a regulator, the reform of the economy, rationalized subsidies, and the creation of private sector employment.
Oil continues to be of significant interest for growth in the Kingdom of Bahrain. The government budget is increasingly dependent on oil. A recent confirmation that Bapco and Aramco have agreed to substantially expand the pipeline linking both countries is welcome news for Bahrain.
Four of the region’s influential business personalities and leaders in their respective fields analyzed the business outlook for Bahrain and the wider region in the coming 12 months, providing insight on key industries. The general consensus indicated that global economic activity will remain unsynchronized, but stronger support factors will improve prospects as fiscal austerity eases in the developed world and monetary conditions remain supportive.
Held at Capital Club Bahrain, the panel consisted of including Dr. Yahya Alyahya, CEO, Gulf International Bank, Hassan Jarrar, CEO, Standard Chartered Bank, Stephen Harrison, EDB’s International Advisor and Jamal Fakhro, Managing Partner, KPMG Fakhro, who moderated the event.
Saudi Arabia’s economic prospects will remain robust in 2014 but tempered by global, regional and policy challenges, as well as risks volatile oil prices.
Tourism and leisure business will be areas for growth in 2014, with the financial sector being the key contributor to Bahrain’s GDP.
Strong and robust legal systems need to be developed in order to promote sustainable cross-border investments and trade flows.
On the subject of real estate reform, both the panelists and the audience agreed wholeheartedly that the reform of the real estate sector, which currently contributes approximately 15% to Bahrain’s GDP, is critical.
“The general outcome of the session was very encouraging and overall atmosphere very positive as 2014 will bring steady growth for Bahrain,” Jamal Fakhro said.
Capital Club’s annual business outlook forum provides a platform for the region’s leading business personalities to unite and discuss the Kingdom and region’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats for the coming year.